• andioop@programming.dev
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        2 months ago

        I do wonder about inventions that actually changed the world or the way people do things, and if there is a noticeable pattern that distinguishes them from inventions that came and went and got lost to history, or that did get adopted but do not have mass adoption. Hindsight is 20/20, but we live in the present and have to make our guesses about what will succeed and what will fail, and it would be nice to have better guesses.

        • Lightfire228@pawb.social
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          2 months ago

          Quality work will always need human craftsmanship

          I’d wager that most revolutionary technologies are either those that expand human knowledge and understanding, and (to a lesser extent) those that increase replicability (like assembly lines)

        • pinball_wizard@lemmy.zip
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          2 months ago

          I do wonder about inventions that actually changed the world or the way people do things, and if there is a noticeable pattern that distinguishes them from inventions that came and went and got lost to history,

          Cool thought experiment.

          Comparing the first iPhone with the release of BlockChain is a pretty solid way to consider the differences.

          We all knew that modern phones were going to be huge. We didn’t need tech bros to tell us to trust them about it. The usefulness was obvious.

          After I got my first iPhone, I learned a new thing I could do with it - by word-of-mouth - pretty much every week for the first year.

          Even so, Google supposedly under-estimated the demand for the first Android phones by almost a factor of 10x.

          BlockChain works fine, but it’s not changing my daily routine every week.

          AI is somewhere in between. I do frequently learn something new and cool that AI can do for me, from a peer. It’s not as impactful as my first pocket computer phone, but it’s still useful.

          Even with the iPhone release, I was told “learn iPhone programming or I won’t have a job.” I actually did not learn iPhone programming, and I do still have a job. But I did need to learn some things about making code run on phones.

    • Kissaki@programming.dev
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      2 months ago

      I’d love to read a list of those instances/claims/tech

      I imagine one of them was low-code/no-code?

      /edit: I see such a list is what the posted link is about.

      I’m surprised there’s not low-code/no-code in that list.

      • jubilationtcornpone@sh.itjust.works
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        2 months ago

        “We’re gonna make a fully functioning e-commerce website with only this WYSIWYG site builder. See? No need to hire any devs!”

        Several months later…

        “Well that was a complete waste of time.”

      • pinball_wizard@lemmy.zip
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        2 months ago

        You’re right. It belongs on the list.

        I was told several times that my programming career was ending, when the first low-code/no-code platforms released.

        • Kissaki@programming.dev
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          2 months ago

          At my work we explored a low-code platform. It was not low on code at all. Beyond the simplest demos you had to code everything in javascript, but in a convoluted, intransparend, undocumented environment with a horrendous editing UI. Of course their marketing was something different than that.

          That was not the early days of low-code mind you. It was rather recently; maybe three or four years ago.